According to the latest outlook report released by Gartner, global semiconductor revenue will reach 276 billion US dollars in 2010, compared with the total revenue of 231 billion US dollars in 2009, will increase by 19.9%.
Mr. Bryan Lewis, vice president of research at Gartner, said: "We have clearly seen that the semiconductor industry is expected to grow strongly in 2010. Although the semiconductor market declined by 9.6% in the first quarter of 2009, the quarterly revenues for the subsequent three quarters showed Amazingly strong growth. Following the downturn at the beginning of the year, the growth of PC production in 2009 actually proved to be positive. It is expected that PC growth will be close to 20% in 2010, which will effectively drive the growth of the semiconductor industry. And with earlier cuts in capital, semiconductor foundry and package utilization are close to limits, and most regions and most application vendors are seeing growing demand for orders. The key issue now is to continue to recover at the current rate. Or what we see will be just a correction."
Gartner is closely tracking the balance between electronic system sales and semiconductor sales and inventory during the recession, and believes that small revisions in semiconductor sales are necessary to rebalance chip sales and system sales in the near future.
The third quarter is usually the strongest quarter for semiconductor sales growth as system companies produce more products for students returning to school and holidays, with growth typically at 9%. Gartner's latest semiconductor forecast shows that sales in the third quarter of 2010 will increase by 7%, followed by a relatively flat growth in the fourth quarter, which will better coordinate the balance between semiconductor sales and system sales.
PCs and memory are the main drivers driving semiconductor revenue growth in 2010. Mr. Lewis went on to say: "The rising DRAM chip price combined with the strong PC market demand will cause DRAM revenue to increase by more than 55% in 2010, and DRAM has become the fastest growing product to date."
Gartner analysts expect the semiconductor industry to continue to grow until 2014, and the overall market size is expected to reach $304 billion in 2012.
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