July 6th, according to Techcrunch, if you are concerned about the performance of Tesla Electric Vehicles in the stock market, you will undoubtedly realize that the analysts who are concerned about the company are engaged in a bull market and a bear market war. Although analysts at major investment banks such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America often have disagreements on the future stock prices of certain companies, their views on the rise or fall of the same company's share price are quite different but rare.
This is what happened to Tesla. Twenty-four analysts made public predictions on Tesla's stock price. Eight of them believed that they should “buy†Tesla shares, which meant they thought they would rise. Eight people think that Tesla should be sold because they predict it will fall. There are also 8 people who think it is possible to "hold" Tesla shares, which basically means that Tesla shares almost the same performance as the overall market.
Specifically, the Cohen Group predicts that Tesla's target share price will be the lowest, at only $155 per share, while the highest forecast comes from Berenberg. It believes that Tesla's target share price will be up to $464 per share. The average of these forecasts is $281.79, which is still far below the current $327.09, although it has fallen by 7 percentage points.
Why Tesla shares will fall? There are many reasons. Yesterday, Tesla announced that 22,000 cars were delivered in the second quarter of 2017. Although this may help it surpass the record of 76,000 vehicles delivered in 2016, it is still lower than expected, and Tesla attributed this to the insufficient capacity of 100 GWh battery packs.
Earlier this morning, Goldman Sachs lowered Tesla’s target share price from US$190 to US$180 because of concerns that Tesla’s demand for Model S and Model X models was stagnant. Tesla may also be in trouble while trying to meet upcoming production goals.
Of course, Tesla's current focus is on the Volkswagen version of the Model 3, which will begin shipping at the end of this month. Although only 100 Model 3s will be produced in August, Elon Musk, Tesla’s chief executive, said that by December of this year, the model will produce 20,000 cars per month, and in 2018 Annual output can reach 500,000 vehicles.
In fact, the real reason that led analysts to make such huge disagreements is that people look at Tesla differently. Some people think of Tesla as a traditional car company. If you measure it according to industry standards, it is obviously worth its value. But others regard Tesla as a technology and energy company and are working on the research and development of driverless and battery production technologies. This may mean that Tesla is still in a “growth stage†and has unlimited potential in the future.
No matter which theory you support, you will certainly find that the next few months will be very interesting because Tesla will gradually increase the production of Model 3 and try to prove that it will eventually be able to mass produce cars. (small)
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