At the beginning of the new year, the world's top Internet of Things senior consultants made an optimistic forecast for this year's industry development - 2016, is expected to become a year of inter-generational Internet of Things.
The next year's IoT industry forecasts are listed below, and the results come from the guidance of the top analyst team in the M research institute market. Despite this, we still accept and treat it critically, inclusively, and realistically, otherwise the data will lose its meaning. There are no doubt that many of the following details may not happen, but the more important information that big data gives us is a broader trend forecast, which will give us more confidence.
At least one of the Fortune 500 companies will fundamentally change valuations based on big data generated by the Internet of Things, or guarantee and trade their assets.
We have all heard of the term "service transformation", the ability of a company to switch from simply selling a product to selling a service. In 2016, I look forward to the impact of the service transformation will affect the company's financial scope. We will feel the first heartbeat of the new IoT economy. Imagine that the monitoring of immovable assets means a fundamental change in risk assessment and is of substantial significance to the insurance industry. The concept of a new Internet of Things economy will be our annual cycle theme, which will be repeated and redefined, given that a more full-fledged strategic report will be available at the end of the year.
At least one of the Fortune 500 companies will assign the position of “Chief IOTâ€
In the past few years, we have continued to see the company's growing awareness of the importance of the Internet of Things. That's right, our ongoing research project for this purpose is called EnterpriseIoT, the enterprise Internet of Things. There is a clear understanding that in order to truly drive the company's inherent transformation of the Internet of Things creativity, it must be promoted by c-level administration. However, in most cases, a breakthrough is required to make a fundamental change in business operations. All of this is indispensable from the pressure of the top of the company, and to some extent, the need for key stakeholders in cost and benefit, and in fact, the need for COO and CMO.
Error correction analysis will be applied as a fault detection method to a range of industries
You must have heard the predictive analysis and the guiding analysis. Has the error correction analysis been heard? Error correction analysis is based on real-time data output and is more suitable as a security option than predictive and guided analysis for automatic error correction. As the trend of the Internet of Things continues to emerge, error correction analysis has been discovered in the vast sea of ​​people, but as William Gibson said, the future has come, but will not divide the cake. The 2016 error correction analysis is destined to be divided into a large piece of cake in the future.
There will be a well-known IoT company that will file for bankruptcy, but at least one company's market capitalization will easily turn 100 times.
Of course, this is just a preface. We have not encountered any problems for any company. However, we believe that in a stable growth market environment, there will always be one or two companies trying to "aggressive" expansion, and indeed there is no absolute safe play in the current Internet of Things environment. Focusing on the new types of rising stars in the Internet of Things, which “courageous†rush to over-emphasize the strategy may bring disaster to the company (or be acquired at a very low price). At the same time, there is still a lot of money to chase low-value assets of unequal value. The highest IoT acquisition we know so far is 100 times.
SI plays a key and central role in the delivery of IoT information. (Now we have recognized that one aspect of IoT companies is to integrate sensor data with enterprise IT systems.) So everyone is competing to work with SI. For any company that directly delivers IoT services to its customers, SI must have its own customized service to become a core competency.
Some companies already have this capability, others are still tapping their professional services. Other companies may continue to profit from accelerating the acquisition process. Vodafone is an obvious potential case. It has a certain budget, and there is no need to worry about the budget to improve the supply of the company (this is the company's economic growth point). At present, he does not have the ability of SI. We can see some of Vodafone's M&A activities in the Internet of Things, but its ambitions are often seen as not too much.
Our expectation is a goal, and TechMahindra or Wipro is betting on it. We also look forward to seeing one of SI's members support the rise of their Internet of Things by providing a software platform. Although we are discussing mergers and acquisitions, our analysts have predicted that GE or some other large product portfolio will acquire PTC. None of these predictions are based on internal corporate news, they may not be realized, but the analyst's feeling of "right" in the development of the industry at this stage.
Enterprises will no longer refuse to use security as an excuse
Although the security of the Internet of Things is indeed getting worse, it is no longer so threatening. For example, more and more leaks, more easily cracked passwords, more data leaks, and more hackers. But we should realize that these potential problems do not have to be resolved now. In reality, IoT security issues will be about unknown changes, not basic challenges. Security is applied to the more basic issues in the IoT in the short term. In the long run, it will be much more complicated, but no one will deploy his solution to an environment where everything is connected for 10 to 20 years. We have published a series of surveys on the topic of IoT security in recent months, and we will continue to focus on its major issues in 2016.
There will be a mainstream LPWA technology this year, as well as other technologies.
In 2016, the LPWA field will undergo tremendous changes. Due to the development of regulatory systems, standards, business models or (and) technologies, we will see one of the LPWA technologies highlighted. For each country, there will be no more than two widely used non-3GPP LPWA networks, which in some ways limits some opportunities.
But this does not mean that the selectivity is getting smaller. If there is any impact, it will result in more fragmentation opportunities than less. However, which technology is best for different regions and different application types will become clearer. At least half of the non-3GPP LPWA network technologies will be used in many countries. To learn more about the current status of the LPWA market, check out our strategic report "LPWA: Emerging Network Technologies for Subversion of the Internet of Things"
We will see significant changes in technology and suppliers for IoT-specific solutions for less-recognized people.
For the Internet of Things, there will be a clearer level of awareness this year, that is, there is only one way to do it: connection-technology and connectivity-supplier-agnosticism. The former is suitable for mobile network operators, even operators who did not understand these technologies can see the huge advantages brought by this transformation. Some notable changes can even make some MNOs that were otherwise irrelevant force them to sign larger contracts with their nominal competitors to deploy LPWA networks globally. China will shake the entire Internet of Things and significantly increase its market share in semiconductors, software platforms, smart cities and integrated solutions.
China's major suppliers have gradually exerted their influence in the global Internet of Things, although most of these suppliers' energy is still in China. Taking semiconductors as an example, Huawei and Xiaomi have set off a wave in the field of Internet of Things. For Chinese suppliers, they will further develop into an indispensable “player†in the world in 2016. Their achievements will affect the global competitive landscape. This is reflected in the following two aspects: strengthening international competitiveness and introducing new ones. Competitive to the international market.
The combination of these two aspects will be more prominent in the semiconductor industry, as they can take longer to integrate on a large scale. On the platform side, it is irresistible that through the cooperation between Huawei and other Chinese operators, we will find production solutions and bring them to other markets around the world. This conclusion also applies to smart city solutions and IoT integrated solutions, and we expect more production solutions to be brought to the world stage in 2016.
The telecom industry is on stage again
After a few years of silence, telecom technology returned to the stage. Of course, in the past two or three years we have seen the growth of LPWA technology applications, but in 2016 there are more and more technologies to promote the development of the telecommunications industry. With the 5G coming to the forefront (if the previous record is not wrong, we may see a US aircraft carrier launching some related technologies of LTE and called "5G"), we will see that the 2G/3G related plan is gradually closed. We expect two major operators to announce the related 2G/3G closure.
And in the Internet of Things, the network virtualization function / software-defined network (NFV / SDN) will have special applications, we also look forward to a breakthrough in the field of smart home technology. We also recently released an initial view of our 5G opportunities - "5G networks in the IoT era help expand the delivery capabilities of MNOs, but the challenges are huge" (October 2015) and a shutdown of 2G/3G services Strategic Report - "2G/3G Closure: The Symbol of the Rise of the Internet of Things" (September 2015). Our forecasts for wide-area communication providers are reported through our annual CSP benchmark test, and this report will undergo a major revision in the third quarter of 2016.
Everyone will usher in a new way of life
Perhaps not exactly what the title says, but we still look forward to it coming. The emergence of digital mapping and digital "avatars" will make the virtualized world popular, and of course augmented reality will break through the limitations to achieve a wider range of applications. Recently we published an article on the study of the concept of digital mapping - "Digital Mapping Helps IoT Realize Closed Loop in Manufacturing" (November 2015). We hope to release more relevant research results this year.
Blockchain: the trend of speculation, but can not land
The Internet of Things changes the entire world, and the blockchain will also rebuild the economic world. This is an irreversible trend. However, when the two merge, it is not enough to feel this powerful force. We predict that there will be more people paying attention to the idea of ​​using distributed classification models to reflect the blockchain of Bitcoin in order to achieve the effect of managing and connecting objects. This will inspire more people to do proof-of-concept demonstrations, but the lack of a clear business need or the principle of supporting commercial deployment will make the blockchain-based IoT solution lose its commercial significance. Before the blockchain achieves its true meaning, the Internet of Things needs a development environment that goes beyond the previous and more meaningful.
Regulatory issues have a huge impact
There are still many legal and regulatory issues that interfere with the development of the Internet of Things. In recent months, discussions about the liability of accidents for connected cars, the legality of data security (more specifically for Fitbit), and the data security port between Europe and the United States have also become increasingly high, and any one of these issues will be given to Countries that are vigorously developing the Internet of Things have a major impact. In addition, there will be more regulatory issues, such as data transmission rules and copyright issues. Companies that take positive steps and take legal responsibility in the face of problems will be better developed this year (for example, cars) than those that evade problems (eg, consumer electronics).
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