After the Great Recession in 2000 and the full recovery in 2003, the global semiconductor industry has reached a new stage of growth and development. With the rise of emerging applications such as digital homes and medical electronics, global semiconductors have continued to grow. In the new round of development, what is the characteristics of the global semiconductor industry? What is the trend after 2007 and 2008? Industry experts have made predictions.
On October 11th, as the opening ceremony of the 9th China International Hi-Tech Fair, the Global Semiconductor Market Conference opened in Shenzhen. DaleFord, vice president of isuppli, pointed out in his speech: "Although the global semiconductor market grew by 9.6% in 2006, growth will slow down by only 3.5% in 2007, but in 2008, the global semiconductor market continued to resume high growth with a growth rate of 9.3. %, and growth will slow down again in 2009, and will form a small oscillatory growth trend in the future."
Dale pointed out: "In 2006, the high growth of global semiconductors was due to the surge in sales of storage devices. In 2006, DRAM grew by 35.2%, while storage ICs grew by 22.5%." However, the so-called "Chengdu Xiaohe, defeat is also Xiaohe." Because the memory market grew by only 3.4% in 2007, it dragged down the growth of the global semiconductor market. Dale pointed out: "In the first quarter of 2007, the average selling price per MB (ASP) of the memory fell to an all-time low, but it has now rebounded." He pointed out that the trend of DRAM will seriously affect the future of the semiconductor industry, but with NAND Become a hot spot for storage, it will also affect the future of the semiconductor industry. In the first half of 2008, NAND capacity will exceed DRAM and will trigger new oversupply.
In addition, sales growth of analog ICs, standard linear devices, image sensors, sensors/actuators, and DSPs has declined significantly compared to 2006. The growth of the image sensor market will fall from 11.8% in 2006 to -9.6% in 2007, he pointed out that this is mainly due to the slowdown in the development of CCD image sensors.
Application development forecast
Looking into the application development in the future, he pointed out that from 2006 to 2011, the global semiconductor application market has a compound annual growth rate of 6%. The market size and the application with large growth rate are data processing, and the growth rate will reach 8%. Mobile phones and PCs are still the main drivers of global semiconductor growth, but the growth rate can only be maintained at around 5%, while solid-state drives, LCD-TV, mobile PCs, medical electronics, etc. have experienced rapid growth. He pointed out that the penetration rate of laptops in 2009 will reach 44%.
For mobile communications, new users in developing countries continue to maintain rapid growth, and by 2011, global mobile users will reach 4.5 billion! The user base of GPRS/EDGE and WCDMA/HSXPA has increased greatly. Of course, mobile phones with such functions dominate the mobile communication market. In 2011, mobile phone shipments reached 1.5 billion units, of which functional phones will occupy a major share.
He particularly emphasized that the IPTV market will grow at a high speed in the future, but to overcome obstacles such as user acceptance, service quality, policies and regulations, and competition, he predicted that by 2011, TelcoTV users will reach 80 million! Revenue will also exceed $30 billion!
He pointed out that in addition to the audio applications in mobile phones and headsets, Bluetooth will also intensify penetration in areas such as video game consoles. Wireless USB, in the field of high-speed data transmission, has found its use, such as video file transfer in consumer electronics.
Leading mobile applications will be PMP/MP3 players and digital cameras, with opportunities in the semiconductor industry for power management, display and wireless. He also pointed out that HDD and the basket will beat optical technologies such as CD/DVD to become the final winner, and consumers will return to traditional storage.
In automotive electronics, portable embedded systems will defeat discrete navigation ECUs and CDs (CDChanger) as winners.
In an interview with the EE Times website, he pointed out that tri-play will drive the development of semiconductor devices and create new areas for FPGAs. In addition, the new highly competitive relationship will lead to a new business model in which private equity plays an important role.
The main target of foreign acquisition is the chaotic market of special cable enterprises. The market needs to be rectified. It is necessary to rectify and regulate the market of energy-saving lamps. It is recommended that the purchase of semiconductor lighting industry has important strategic significance. The global semiconductor industry will be expected to rise next year. Hengtong Optoelectronics and Buddha Photo will be released in the third quarter. Performance pre-announcement
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